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Using Technical Analysis As A Risk Management Tool: 4 Examples

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I happened to be online last week, following some of my global peers and again noticed something that has been a recurring feature: even the most experienced and well-respected technical analysts still have a tough time in selling the discipline as a viable tool in financial markets. Yes, there are are myriad of ways to make money in the market, which includes Fundamental, Quantitative, Quantamental and many more but when it comes to technical analysis there is often a great deal of doubt that the outcome is less reliable than most other forms of analysis. Peter Brandt, who has been in the business for 45 years is one of the gentlemen who has been successful but is still doubted, while J.C Parets, who services hedge funds and other institutions ofetn describes how thought of as 'voodoo' by the rest of the market. One of my acquaintances who previously traded at a large boutique asset manager and now works as a hedge fund manager, describe to me how Technical Analysis is con...
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Hits & Misses 2018

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How does an individual who earns his or her living from financial services and/or the financial markets maintain complete humility when they feel they have done well or out-performed? When a plumber, doctor, dentist or IT professional expresses that he or she has the ability to do a good job the reaction expressed is somewhat different than the sometimes "who-does-he-or-she-think-he-is?" reaction a financial services professional receives.  It's on that note I start this brief piece called "Hits & Misses 2018" - an attempt to highlight ( through the calls made ) how my think and analysis has developed, why I believe 2018 was a very good year, as well as where I failed. If you are reading this we most likely follow each other on Twitter or are connected on Linkedin or you may have otherwise come across my post online. The ideas highlighted form part of my roll as an researcher/analyst at a Johannesburg-based retail stockbroker where I am responsible f...
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SAMPLE: 21 Charts To Keep In Mind (21 - 24 December 2020)

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Instruments Covered: US 10-Year Bond, Copper, Platinum, Platinum/Palladium Ratio, Iron Ore, Brent Crude Oil, DAX, Shanghai Composite, Absa, AECI, Mpact, Naspers, Imperial Logistics, Home Depot, Visa, Faro Technologies, JNJ, Iqvia, Genmark Diagnostics, Constellation Brands. Fixed Income US 10 Year Bond Yield - We've been banging the drum on higher interest rates from just under the 60bps level. Subsequently we saw the US10Y sell off (i.e. higher yields = lower bond prices) to test a multi-month high of 0.98% on 11 November. Since then, we have seen a sideways consolidation with resistance between 0.96% and 0.98% and support from 0.82% to 0.84%. Tracking performance from March 2020, we note the yield has developed a base formation with the aforementioned consolidation just above the 200-day simple moving average. Look for a break through the 0.99% level as a trigger for the next level higher.        Commodities Copper | On Friday, the commodity tes...
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