I happened to be online last week, following some of my global peers and again noticed something that has been a recurring feature: even the most experienced and well-respected technical analysts still have a tough time in selling the discipline as a viable tool in financial markets. Yes, there are are myriad of ways to make money in the market, which includes Fundamental, Quantitative, Quantamental and many more but when it comes to technical analysis there is often a great deal of doubt that the outcome is less reliable than most other forms of analysis. Peter Brandt, who has been in the business for 45 years is one of the gentlemen who has been successful but is still doubted, while J.C Parets, who services hedge funds and other institutions ofetn describes how thought of as 'voodoo' by the rest of the market. One of my acquaintances who previously traded at a large boutique asset manager and now works as a hedge fund manager, describe to me how Technical Analysis is con...
How does an individual who earns his or her living from financial services and/or the financial markets maintain complete humility when they feel they have done well or out-performed? When a plumber, doctor, dentist or IT professional expresses that he or she has the ability to do a good job the reaction expressed is somewhat different than the sometimes "who-does-he-or-she-think-he-is?" reaction a financial services professional receives. It's on that note I start this brief piece called "Hits & Misses 2018" - an attempt to highlight ( through the calls made ) how my think and analysis has developed, why I believe 2018 was a very good year, as well as where I failed. If you are reading this we most likely follow each other on Twitter or are connected on Linkedin or you may have otherwise come across my post online. The ideas highlighted form part of my roll as an researcher/analyst at a Johannesburg-based retail stockbroker where I am responsible f...
Good Day All, This week's research note is shorter than usual. For a sample of my standard weekly reports, please click on the following link to view the standard coverage: https://re-rate.blogspot.com/2021/01/research-coverage-samples-of-research.html Full sample reports will be uploaded to this blog in the next few days. Please note, this is not a comprehensive view of potential market opportunities on my watch-list. All Charts and Data as at the close of Thursday 31 December 2020. All Country World Equity Index (ACWI, $90.72) | As we kick off 2021, global equities trade at all-time highs, having made one of the strongest trough-to-peak recoveries in recent years, rising by 70% off the March 2020 pandemic lows to the last trading day of 2020. At current levels, the index exhibits a strong candle structure, with a +3.88% gain over 1 month, which followed an 11.76% gain for November 2020. While the primary trend is up and strong, traders and investors shoul...
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